By this Saturday, we need to pare our rosters down to 15 players, plus an additional two rookies. My problem comes from the fact that I have too many good players, so I would have been forced to drop a couple of them.
So I was looking to make a deal where I could trade two players for one other player and a draft pick. And I like the deal I made.
I traded Alexander Semin and Alexei Kovalev for Shea Weber and a second round draft pick (13th overall).
Some may think I’m giving up too much, but I don’t see it that way. Let’s analyze the trade to show my thought process.
Let’s start with what I’m receiving. I needed another defenceman, that much was clear. I was planning on going into the draft concentrating on grabbing a defencemen with my second round pick. But now, I don’t need to do that. With this trade, I have a defensive roster that looks like this: Weber, Ryan Suter, Kris Russell, Joni Pitkanen and Kyle Quincey. That’s not too shabby. I also have the option of keeping Carlo Colaiacovo if I choose. But he’s older, and I think he’s going to end up losing a lot of ice time this season as the St. Louis Blues will probably be dressing Erik Johnson and Alex Pietrangelo as their top defencemen and powerplay guys.
As for the draft pick, this now gives me three picks in the top 13, including #1 overall. And since there’s only nine guys in the league with roster players (we’re adding a 10th owner this year), that means there’s a lot of good quality players waiting to be drafted. I already have a list done up of the top 60 picks (the whole league only makes 50 picks combined), and that doesn’t include players from other teams that will be dropped. So draft picks are key this year.
As for what I gave up, Semin is obviously key here. He’s a great young talent, just came off a career year of 40 goals and 84 points, and plays for one of the most offensive-minded teams in the league.
For now, anyways.
Semin is an unrestricted free agent next year, and he may end up signing elsewhere, or even going back to Russia to play in the KHL. If he stays in the NHL, he’ll probably get about $7 million a season on the open market. Will the Caps pay him that? Probably not, especially if he has another horrible playoffs this year.
And there’s also his injuries to think about. Semin has a tendency to miss games here and there because of small injuries. That doesn’t bode well for a long career in the league.
I’ve actually been trying to trade Semin for about six months, with no takers. So I’m glad that I managed to get what I did for him.
In regards to Kovalev, I realize a lot of people may think that he may be due for a comeback year now that the Ottawa Senators have a powerplay specialist in Sergei Gonchar. But in reality, Kovalev has had one good year since the 03-04 season. Every other year, he gets somewhere between 45 and 65 points. While that’s okay, it’s not great, especially for a 37-year old in a long-term keeper pool. So I was planning on dropping him anyways.
Since I was going to lose Kovalev, I don’t really consider him part of this deal. If you take Kovalev out of the equation, I basically traded Semin for Weber and a second rounder, which sounds like a pretty fair trade.
What do you think?