A couple of months back, I had a chance to bet on football games because I knew someone going to Vegas.
Looking at the spreads, I wanted to choose five games, which would have won me something like $80 on a $5 bet. Not a lot, but a good choice for my first ever Vegas bet.
One of the games I chose was the Pittsburgh Steelers against the Detroit Lions. The Steelers were favoured to win by something like 10 points, and even though I am a Lions fan, I chose to go with the Steelers.
Pittsburgh won the game, but they never covered the spread.
It doesn’t seem like a big deal, until you look at the Steelers’ overall numbers. Pittsburgh is a league worst 3-7 when favoured, and second worst overall at 3-8 (only the woeful Lions are worse).
So I had to laugh when I saw the Steelers were favoured by 13 1/2 over Oakland this week. The Raiders by the way, are 5-4 against the spread when they’re the underdog.
It doesn’t add up to a good matchup if you’re the Steelers, at least not when the spread is taken into account.
Of course, knowing my luck, the Steelers are going to win by 45 points this week.
Anyways, on to my picks.
|Philadelphia at Atlanta||Line: Eagles by 5 1/2||Falcons|
|New England at Miami||Line: Patriots by 4 1/2||Patriots|
|Tampa Bay at Carolina||Line: Panthers by 6 1/2||Panthers|
|St.Louis at Chicago||Line: Bears by 8 1/2||Bears|
|Detroit at Cincinnati||Line: Bengals by 12 1/2||Bengals|
|Tennessee at Indianapolis||Line: Colts by 6 1/2||Titans|
|Houston at Jacksonville||Line: Jaguars by 1/2||Texans|
|Denver at Kansas City||Line: Broncos by 4 1/2||Broncos|
|Oakland at Pittsburgh||Line: Steelers by 13 1/2||Raiders|
|New Orleans at Washington||Line: Saints by 9 1/2||Saints|
|San Diego at Cleveland||Line: Chargers by 12 1/2||Chargers|
|Dallas at NY Giants||Line: Cowboys by 1 1/2||Giants|
|San Francisco at Seattle||Line: Seahawks by 1/2||49ers|
|Minnesota at Arizona||Line: Vikings by 4 1/2||Vikings|
|Baltimore at Green Bay||Line: Packers by 3 1/2||Ravens|