NFL Thursday picks, week 12

Today is Thanksgiving in the U.S., so that means lots of football.

Calvin Johnson will help keep the score close between the Lions and the Packers.

Even though I’m not American, a few years ago I booked the day off work so I could stay home to watch all the games. I can’t remember who played, but they were all blowouts. There’s nothing worse than watching a full day of football and not enjoying it, so I never did it again.

This year, if all the spreads are met by the favourites, then it looks to be more blowouts. But I think the games will be closer.

On to the games:

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, Packers favoured by 10 1/2

The Packers are not a good enough team to be almost 11-point favourites over anyone. They’ve struggled this year against some bad teams (including a loss to the league’s worst team, Tampa Bay). Plus, with it being a Thanksgiving game, teams gets pumped up for the national coverage they normally might not get. The Lions will be ready for their division rivals. Lions to cover.

Oakland Raiders at Dallas Cowboys, Cowboys favoured by 13 1/2

I’m worried about Tony Romo still being injured after last week’s game. Plus, the team hasn’t looked good the past few games (a 7-6 win over the lowly Redskins, and a 17-7 loss to the Packers). Plus, Oakland is 5-3 against the spread when they’re the underdog. Raiders to cover.

New York Giants at Denver Broncos, Giants favoured by 6 1/2

The bye week was the worst thing to have happened to the Broncos. They started the season with a 6-0 record, and were rolling over the competition. Then they had the bye, and have not only lost four games in a row, but lost them badly. They have been outscored 88 to 37 in that time. The Giants have been streaky as well, but I think they’re the better team. Giants to win.

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