So the Superbowl is tonight. I really hope it’s an entertaining game (like the Giants-Pats game from last year), and not a complete blowout or dull game. The Superbowl is no fun when you can stop watching after two quarters because it’s pretty much decided.
Anyways, the line that I’m using for tonight’s game says the Pittsburgh Steelers is favoured by 6 1/2 over the Arizona Cardinals.
I think it’s an interesting line. Pittsburgh by a touchdown? You can make cases each way, and each argument would be valid. If the spread was something like 13 1/2, then it would be a different story. Or even 7 1/2 would be an easier pick. In that case, if it’s a tie game where Pittsburgh scores with under two minutes left, that would mean the Cardinals would still cover. But with the spread being 6 1/2, that means they wouldn’t. It actually makes it a more difficult pick.
Every one seems to be jumping on the Cardinals bandwagon for the past couple of weeks. Is it because they’re a team of destiny? Probably not. Is it because it’s easier to hate the Steelers with their history of winning? That could be it. Is it because people still have last year’s upset of the Giants over the undefeated Patriots fresh in their minds? Bingo.
People like cheering for the underdog, and the Cardinals come into this game as a major underdog. So people want to support them so when they win, they can say they predicted the upset.
The Cardinals are a streaky team to pick. When they’re good, they’re great. When they’re bad, they suck. There’s no in the middle for them.
By the way, Larry Fitzgerald has now officially killed my fantasy football teams for the next five years. He’s my Mark Savard of the NFL.
When Savard was with the Atlanta Flames, he was a point-a-guy player, but because he played on a poor team in a bad market, most people didn’t know who he was. So I was always able to draft him late. That changed though, once he signed on with the Boston Bruins. Now he plays for a great team in a great market. So his fantasy value has gone through the roof, and is routinely selected high in a draft.
Larry Fitzgerald is now like that. For years, he played on a poor team in non-national market. He went under the radar, despite have three 1,400 yard seasons and three seasons where he scored at least 10 touchdowns. Yet most people thought it was because of Anquan Boldin that Fitzgerald was open so much. But in the first three games of the playoffs, Fitzgerald has averaged almost 140 yards per game, and has a total of five touchdowns to lead all wide receivers and runningbacks. He had six touchdowns in the last five games of the regular season, and helped me win my fantasy football trophy this year.
I used to be able to get Fitzgerald in the third round, but I can guarantee you that won’t happen next season. He’ll be drafted in the late first/early second round, ahead of Andre Johnson, Reggie Wayne and Steve Smith, especially with all the talk of him being the greatest receiver in the game. There goes one of my favourite picks.
On the flip side of that, Boldin’s stock must be on the decrease a little. He missed the last two games of the regular season, but had only one touchdown in his last five games before that. In the playoffs, he’s missed one game, and in his other two games, he has a quiet 106 yards and one touchdown. And he’s already exploded on the sidelines because he wasn’t getting enough touches.
We all know the drill about Pittsburgh’s defence. It’s great, it can control the game. You’re forced to throw because they can stop the running game pretty easily. But that’s okay for the Cardinals, because they like to throw and hate to run.
Anyways, in the end, I think the Cardinals are good enough to keep the game close, and cover the spread. And I think there’s a pretty good chance they might even win the game outright.
My pick: Cardinals.